Dumping of Dollar by China-Russia Points to New Currency for Residuals

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November 2010 saw China and Russia enter into a new agreement which could herald profound consequences for the way in which aircraft are valued. Both China and Russia, major economic entities, are continuing to move away from the US dollar which has established itself as the international trading currency......

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A320 / B737NG Long Term Residuals Could be Squeezed by C919

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Launch of Chinese 150 Seat Offering Will Further Muddy Residual Outlook If the prospects for long term residual values were not already shrouded in uncertainty due to the possible launch of the A320-NEO, then the development of the Chinese C919 is likely to increase the difficulty in establishing which......

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Residuals of B787-9 Gain Ground from Growing Preference For Larger Size

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While Boeing may be having problems in getting the B787-8 to market, the prospects for the larger version are much more promising both in terms of actually being delivered and with respect to residual values. Stretching an existing design has the potential to greatly improve the economics due to a lighter......

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Residuals Prepare for Different Product Line in Ten Years

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Rising Production Rates for Current Models Fail to Mask Pressure on Residuals By the end of this decade the product lines of the manufacturers will have undergone a radical change causing long term market values of current offerings to experience significant change. Virtually all segments of the current......

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Dissipating Backlog of 130 Seaters Start to Impact Residuals

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A319 & B737-700 Backlogs Fail to Match A320 and -800 Levels Operators of newer narrowbodies have increasingly focused on larger variants at the expense of the A319 and B737-700 such that the backlogs of both smaller variants have long since lost parity with the A320 and B737-800 making it necessary to......

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Farnborough Orders Provide Breathing Space for Narrowbody Residuals

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The large number of orders placed for the existing B737NG and A320 family members provides reassurance for both Airbus and Boeing that sufficient demand will exist in the years immediately preceding the introduction of a re-engined aircraft, thereby aiding residual values of existing models. A major problem......

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Any Delay to B737 Replacement Presents Dilemma for Residuals

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With Boeing now unlikely to make a decision on whether to re-engine or replace the hugely successful B737-700 and B737-800 until next year due to conflicting customer requirements, residual values of the existing B737NG may be able to enjoy a measure of temporary relief. Analysis by JP Morgan suggests that......

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Long Term Residual Values Start to Take Account of New Market Entrants

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Long term forecasts increasingly need to take account of new market entrants that have the potential to rip asunder the current duopoly. Residual forecast regularly predict values for the next 15, 20 and even 25 years. There is sometimes a temptation to consider that the current aviation structure will......

Qantas slashes aircraft residual valuations

Airbus may have raised aircraft prices at the beginning of the year, but aircraft residual values are sliding, putting multi-million dollar holes in airline balance sheets. This is due to a reduction in secondary market demand, reflecting weaker traffic and yields, as well as the large amount of new aircraft due for delivery in the next few years (particularly next generation types such as the B787)......